Freezing weather drives up electricity prices, especially in France

David Vobořil
David Vobořil
26 February 2018, 06:34
Freezing weather drives up electricity prices, especially in France

Freezing temperatures that swept across Europe last week drove electricity prices up. Markets are responding to the expected increase in consumption. The largest price rise is evident in France, which has a high share of electric heating.

Electricity prices in France for delivery this week rose above 80 Eur/MWh last Friday for the baseload contract and to 110 Eur/MWh for the peakload contract. Since 15 February, they have thus increased by around 60% (baseload) and 100% (peakload), respectively. The reason is the high share of electric heating in France. According to data from the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E), a one-degree Celsius drop in temperature (between 18 and -11 °C) increases load in the French power system by 2.3 GW.

Baseload electricity prices for delivery in week 9 in France. Source: EEX

Electricity prices also rose in Czechia, although the dependence of electricity consumption on temperature is more than twenty times lower than in France. However, the small Czech market is significantly influenced by prices in Germany, which are interconnected with prices in neighbouring countries' markets. Prices in Czechia therefore also recorded a significant increase, with the baseload price for delivery in week 9 rising above 50 Eur/MWh last Friday and the peakload price to 65 Eur/MWh. In just one week, prices thus increased by around a quarter (baseload) and a third (peakload), respectively.

Baseload (left) and peakload electricity prices for delivery in week 9 in Czechia. Source: EEX

Interestingly, Czechia has the second-highest temperature in Europe at which heating begins.

Electric heating in Europe. Data source: Winter Outlook 2017/2018, ENTSO-E

CountryTemperature at which heating begins
[°C]
Heating saturation temperature
[°C]
Load sensitivity to temperature
[MW/°C]
France17.86871-11-2292
United Kingdom17.52434-3-1025
Italy15.70459-17-767
Spain16.92228-11-726
Norway16.71784-8-433
Italy – north15.70459-17-396
Sweden14.95883-17-386
Turkey14.3-4-315
Germany16.71461-17-257
Poland16.50964-7-220
Italy – central-north15.70459-17-219
Finland15.11808-10-198
Netherlands16.88754-2-163
Serbia20.54797-6-162
Greece16.833321-132
Romania18.59384-5-123
Belgium17.1-12-120
Bulgaria16.8-6-105
Czechia19.80379-4-104
Portugal17.13476-17-96
Austria19-6-95
Switzerland18.9-17-93
Denmark15.20953-3-88
Ireland12.09818-17-69
Italy – south15.70459-17-63
Hungary15.31833-1-49
Italy – central-south15.70459-17-42
Slovakia19.48872-2-36
Croatia15.29003-1-34
Italy – Sardinia15.70459-17-34
Northern Ireland13.3-4-26
Albania17-5-24
Estonia13.4788-6-22
Macedonia16.77798-4-21
Bosnia and Herzegovina15.5-4-20
Slovenia17.64263-6-19
Italy – Sicily15.70459-17-13
Lithuania15.27124-13-13
Latvia14.85936-14-12
Montenegro17.39148-1-11
Luxembourg19.2-17-6
Translation disclaimer

This article is a machine translation of the Czech original and has not yet been fully reviewed. In case of any doubt, please refer to the Czech version.